May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins 5/16/2018

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 8-12 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 9-14 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Caleb Smith has a 47% chance of a QS and Walker Buehler a 51% chance. If Caleb Smith has a quality start the Marlins has a 55% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 42%. If Walker Buehler has a quality start the Dodgers has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 62%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Justin Bour who averaged 1.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Matt Kemp who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 77% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-12, 40% -602Record at Home9-14, 39% -219Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins1-3, 25% -248VS Los Angeles Dodgers3-1, 75% 617Miami Marlins
vs Team Under .5005-9, 36% -600vs Team Under .5005-2, 71% 739Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite6-10, 38% -616Record as Home Underdog8-14, 36% -311Miami Marlins
When Walker Buehler Starts3-0, 100% 219When Caleb Smith Starts4-5, 44% 8Los Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-8, 47% -251Record at Home6-5, 55% 186Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins1-3, 25% -248VS Los Angeles Dodgers3-1, 75% 617Miami Marlins
vs Team Under .5005-9, 36% -600vs Team Under .5005-2, 71% 739Miami Marlins
Record as Road Favorite5-6, 45% -265Record as Home Underdog5-5, 50% 94Miami Marlins
When Walker Buehler Starts3-0, 100% 219When Caleb Smith Starts3-3, 50% 14Los Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-8, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-13, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-43, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-36, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Walker Buehler STARTS1-2, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Caleb Smith STARTS3-6, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 10-10, 50% +305 Miami Marlins Home Games: 12-11, 52% -136 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-9, 40% -98 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-7, 36% -369

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 10-10, 50% -175 Miami Marlins Home Games: 14-9, 61% +43 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 7-8, 47% -233 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-6, 45% -205

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 12-5, 71% + 650 Miami Marlins Home Games: 11-11, 50% -110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 10-3, 77% + 670 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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