May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels 5/16/2018

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The Los Angeles Angels are 11-13 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 15-7 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Garrett Richards has a 49% chance of a QS and Justin Verlander a 53% chance. If Garrett Richards has a quality start the Angels has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 55%. If Justin Verlander has a quality start the Astros has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Carlos Correa who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 65% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-7, 68% 215Record at Home11-13, 46% -452Houston Astros
VS Los Angeles Angels2-3, 40% -196VS Houston Astros3-2, 60% 220Los Angeles Angels
vs Team .500 or Better12-10, 55% -290vs Team .500 or Better12-14, 46% -239Los Angeles Angels
Record as Road Favorite15-7, 68% 215Record as Home Underdog2-4, 33% -146Houston Astros
When Justin Verlander Starts5-4, 56% -115When Garrett Richards Starts6-2, 75% 231Los Angeles Angels

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-4, 73% 264Record at Home7-11, 39% -589Houston Astros
VS Los Angeles Angels2-3, 40% -196VS Houston Astros3-2, 60% 220Los Angeles Angels
vs Team Under .5007-4, 64% -53vs Team Under .5005-2, 71% 136Los Angeles Angels
Record as Road Favorite11-4, 73% 264Record as Home Underdog1-3, 25% -177Houston Astros
When Justin Verlander Starts2-3, 40% -187When Garrett Richards Starts3-1, 75% 109Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-13, 38% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME13-10, 57% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-9, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-7, 59% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON52-32, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-37, 50% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Justin Verlander STARTS2-7, 22% OverOVER-UNDER IN Garrett Richards STARTS5-2, 71% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-15, 32% -540 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 13-11, 54% +254 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-11, 27% -588 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 11-7, 61% +447

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 15-7, 68% +332 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 17-7, 71% +713 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 12-3, 80% +551 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 14-4, 78% +747

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 13-8, 62% + 420 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 12-6, 67% + 540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 9-5, 64% + 350 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 9-3, 75% + 570

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