May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants 5/16/2018

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The San Francisco Giants are 12-7 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 8-14 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants\' starter Andrew Suarez is forecasted to have a better game than Reds\' starter Matt Harvey. Andrew Suarez has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matt Harvey has a 38% chance of a QS. If Andrew Suarez has a quality start the Giants has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 54%. In Matt Harvey quality starts the Reds win 63%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Brandon Belt who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Joey Votto who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

Cincinnati RedsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-14, 36% -242Record at Home12-7, 63% 488San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants0-2, 0% -200VS Cincinnati Reds2-0, 100% 160San Francisco Giants
vs Team .500 or Better7-26, 21% -1842vs Team Under .50011-8, 58% 460San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog8-13, 38% -142Record As Home Favorite6-3, 67% 162San Francisco Giants
When Matt Harvey Starts3-2, 60% 218When Andrew Suarez Starts1-3, 25% -176Cincinnati Reds

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants

Cincinnati RedsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-8, 47% 241Record at Home9-3, 75% 586San Francisco Giants
VS San Francisco Giants0-2, 0% -200VS Cincinnati Reds2-0, 100% 160San Francisco Giants
vs Team .500 or Better3-12, 20% -861vs Team Under .5009-3, 75% 603San Francisco Giants
Record As Road Underdog7-8, 47% 241Record As Home Favorite4-1, 80% 201Cincinnati Reds
When Matt Harvey Starts1-1, 50% 83When Andrew Suarez Starts1-2, 33% -76Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDSan Francisco GiantsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD9-12, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME12-6, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-8, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-34, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-44, 43% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Matt Harvey STARTS2-3, 40% OverOVER-UNDER IN Andrew Suarez STARTS2-2, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 12-10, 55% +468 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 8-11, 42% -266 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 10-5, 67% +720 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 6-6, 50% +16

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 15-7, 68% +432 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 10-9, 53% -11 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 10-5, 67% +265 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 8-4, 67% +363

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 9-10, 47% -200 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 11-5, 69% + 550 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270

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