May 16, 2018 9:16 AM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves 5/16/2018

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The Atlanta Braves are 8-8 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 9-9 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Brandon McCarthy has a 34% chance of a QS and Tyler Chatwood a 30% chance. If Brandon McCarthy has a quality start the Braves has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 58%. If Tyler Chatwood has a quality start the Cubs has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Chicago CubsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-9, 50% -190Record at Home8-8, 50% 119Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves2-1, 67% 33VS Chicago Cubs1-2, 33% -6Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better14-11, 56% -119vs Team .500 or Better17-13, 57% 830Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -99Record As Home Favorite3-4, 43% -132Chicago Cubs
When Tyler Chatwood Starts3-4, 43% -187When Brandon McCarthy Starts5-3, 62% 244Atlanta Braves

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-5, 44% -147Record at Home4-6, 40% -133Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves1-0, 100% 79VS Chicago Cubs0-1, 0% -100Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better9-7, 56% -56vs Team .500 or Better6-6, 50% 51Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -99Record As Home Favorite1-3, 25% -210Chicago Cubs
When Tyler Chatwood Starts3-2, 60% 13When Brandon McCarthy Starts2-3, 40% -90Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD6-11, 35% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-5, 64% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-45, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Chatwood STARTS5-2, 71% OverOVER-UNDER IN Brandon McCarthy STARTS7-1, 88% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-11, 39% -378 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-8, 50% +180 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 4-5, 44% -95 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-5, 50% +104

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-10, 44% -305 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-9, 44% -218 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-4, 56% +41 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-5, 50% -21

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-12, 29% -820 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 9-5, 64% + 350 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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