April 16, 2018 3:32 PM CDT

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets 4/16/2018

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The New York Mets are 6-2 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 4-2 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets\' starter Jacob deGrom is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Jeremy Hellickson. Jacob deGrom has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jeremy Hellickson has a 34% chance of a QS. If Jacob deGrom has a quality start the Mets has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 65%. In Jeremy Hellickson quality starts the Nationals win 55%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Brandon Nimmo who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.67 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 52% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets

Washington NationalsRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-2, 67% 66Record at Home6-2, 75% 251New York Mets
VS New York Mets0-3, 0% -300VS Washington Nationals3-0, 100% 425New York Mets
vs Team .500 or Better4-9, 31% -674vs Team Under .5006-0, 100% 602New York Mets
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite6-1, 86% 351New York Mets
When Jeremy Hellickson Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Jacob deGrom Starts3-0, 100% 263New York Mets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Washington NationalsRECORDNew York MetsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road51-32, 61% 1291Record at Home37-44, 46% -1300Washington Nationals
VS New York Mets13-6, 68% 457VS Washington Nationals6-13, 32% -585Washington Nationals
vs Team Under .50074-46, 62% 508vs Team .500 or Better17-49, 26% -3121Washington Nationals
Record As Road Underdog17-11, 61% 976Record As Home Favorite29-26, 53% -391Washington Nationals
When Jeremy Hellickson Starts14-16, 47% 8When Jacob deGrom Starts17-14, 55% -60Washington Nationals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDNew York MetsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-1, 80% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-5, 38% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-32, 56% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jeremy Hellickson STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Jacob deGrom STARTS3-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 1-5, 17% -327 New York Mets Home Games: 3-5, 38% -263 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 37-46, 45% -1771 New York Mets Home Games: 39-42, 48% +53

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 3-3, 50% -119 New York Mets Home Games: 6-2, 75% +251 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 42-41, 51% -844 New York Mets Home Games: 47-34, 58% +513

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 5-0, 100% + 500 New York Mets Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 32-37, 46% -870 New York Mets Home Games: 26-37, 41% -1470

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