April 16, 2018 3:32 PM CDT

Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays 4/16/2018

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 1-6 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 4-3 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays\' starter Blake Snell is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers\' starter Martin Perez. Blake Snell has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Martin Perez has a 38% chance of a QS. If Blake Snell has a quality start the Rays has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 56%. In Martin Perez quality starts the Rangers win 67%. He has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Matt Duffy who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Adrian Beltre who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Texas RangersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-3, 57% 417Record at Home1-6, 14% -469Texas Rangers
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesVS Texas Rangers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5002-2, 50% 54vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 62Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog4-3, 57% 417Record As Home Favorite0-2, 0% -200Texas Rangers
When Martin Perez Starts1-1, 50% 30When Blake Snell Starts1-2, 33% -109Texas Rangers

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers

Texas RangersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road37-44, 46% 259Record at Home42-39, 52% -250Texas Rangers
VS Tampa Bay Rays4-2, 67% 293VS Texas Rangers2-4, 33% -224Texas Rangers
vs Team Under .50060-54, 53% 329vs Team .500 or Better31-37, 46% 4Texas Rangers
Record As Road Underdog29-35, 45% 518Record As Home Favorite28-26, 52% -561Texas Rangers
When Martin Perez Starts16-16, 50% 97When Blake Snell Starts11-13, 46% -123Texas Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-5, 29% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-4, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-43, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Martin Perez STARTS2-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Blake Snell STARTS2-1, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-5, 29% +9 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-1, 86% +462 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 38-43, 47% +325 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 33-48, 41% -1235

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 3-4, 43% -218 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-2, 71% +231 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 36-45, 44% -1680 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 39-42, 48% -1023

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 2-4, 33% -240 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 38-30, 56% + 500 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 23-44, 34% -2540

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