April 16, 2018 3:32 PM CDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs 4/16/2018

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The Chicago Cubs are 2-3 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 7-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tyler Chatwood has a 32% chance of a QS and Adam Wainwright a 31% chance. If Tyler Chatwood has a quality start the Cubs has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 58%. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Tommy Pham who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-3, 70% 250Record at Home2-3, 40% -189St. Louis Cardinals
VS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesVS St. Louis Cardinals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-7, 42% -271vs Team Under .5002-3, 40% -169Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog1-3, 25% -194Record As Home Favorite2-3, 40% -189Chicago Cubs
When Adam Wainwright Starts0-2, 0% -200When Tyler Chatwood Starts0-2, 0% -200EVEN

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road39-42, 48% -458Record at Home50-36, 58% -603St. Louis Cardinals
VS Chicago Cubs5-14, 26% -854VS St. Louis Cardinals14-5, 74% 640Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better27-44, 38% -1778vs Team .500 or Better39-41, 49% -957Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog16-22, 42% -311Record As Home Favorite48-35, 58% -753St. Louis Cardinals
When Adam Wainwright Starts15-8, 65% 556When Tyler Chatwood Starts10-15, 40% -507St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-5, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-2, 60% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-36, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON50-36, 58% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Adam Wainwright STARTS0-2, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tyler Chatwood STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 2-8, 20% -694 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 0-5, 0% -500 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 36-45, 44% -1513 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 41-45, 48% +406

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-3, 70% +220 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 2-3, 40% -189 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 47-34, 58% +604 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 52-34, 60% -93

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 38-28, 58% + 720 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 40-44, 48% -840

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