April 16, 2018 3:32 PM CDT

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves 4/16/2018

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The Atlanta Braves are 4-2 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 4-4 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves\' starter Julio Teheran is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies\' starter Aaron Nola. Julio Teheran has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Aaron Nola has a 23% chance of a QS. If Julio Teheran has a quality start the Braves has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 55%. In Aaron Nola quality starts the Phillies win 64%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Rhys Hoskins who averaged 3.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 57% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 55% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-4, 50% 33Record at Home4-2, 67% 252Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves1-2, 33% -91VS Philadelphia Phillies2-1, 67% 78Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -291vs Team .500 or Better5-3, 62% 336Atlanta Braves
Record as Road Favorite1-0, 100% 94Record as Home Underdog2-1, 67% 174Atlanta Braves
When Aaron Nola Starts1-3, 25% -252When Julio Teheran Starts2-1, 67% 95Atlanta Braves

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road27-54, 33% -1607Record at Home37-44, 46% -794Atlanta Braves
VS Atlanta Braves13-6, 68% 729VS Philadelphia Phillies6-13, 32% -800Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team Under .50043-53, 45% -338vs Team Under .50047-53, 47% -372Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite0-3, 0% -300Record as Home Underdog20-22, 48% 54Atlanta Braves
When Aaron Nola Starts13-14, 48% 42When Julio Teheran Starts15-17, 47% 89Atlanta Braves

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia PhilliesRECORDAtlanta BravesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-3, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-37, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-43, 45% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Aaron Nola STARTS1-3, 25% OverOVER-UNDER IN Julio Teheran STARTS2-1, 67% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-2, 75% +267 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-3, 50% +76 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 39-42, 48% +445 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 34-47, 42% -1332

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-2, 75% +361 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 2-4, 33% -197 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 49-32, 60% -25 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 39-42, 48% -981

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 3-4, 43% -140 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 34-38, 47% -780 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 37-35, 51% -150

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