April 16, 2018 3:32 PM CDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres 4/16/2018

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The San Diego Padres are 4-7 at home this season and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 1-4 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Robbie Erlin has a 27% chance of a QS and Hyun-jin Ryu a 24% chance. If Robbie Erlin has a quality start the Padres has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 49%. If Hyun-jin Ryu has a quality start the Dodgers has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Christian Villanueva who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Yasmani Grandal who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-4, 20% -351Record at Home4-7, 36% -317San Diego Padres
VS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesVS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-4, 50% -162vs Team Under .5003-1, 75% 177San Diego Padres
Record as Road Favorite1-4, 20% -351Record as Home Underdog2-5, 29% -295San Diego Padres
When Hyun-jin Ryu Starts1-1, 50% -17When Robbie Erlin Starts0-0 No GamesSan Diego Padres

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road51-37, 58% -117Record at Home43-38, 53% 1086San Diego Padres
VS San Diego Padres13-6, 68% -21VS Los Angeles Dodgers6-13, 32% -164Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team Under .50068-25, 73% 1062vs Team .500 or Better35-56, 38% -235Los Angeles Dodgers
Record as Road Favorite44-30, 59% -258Record as Home Underdog28-28, 50% 805San Diego Padres
When Hyun-jin Ryu Starts11-13, 46% -680When Robbie Erlin Starts0-0 No GamesSan Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-2, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-43, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-34, 54% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Hyun-jin Ryu STARTS1-1, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Robbie Erlin STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-1, 80% +403 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-5, 55% +28 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 43-45, 49% +72 San Diego Padres Home Games: 40-41, 49% -82

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 3-2, 60% +58 San Diego Padres Home Games: 8-3, 73% +373 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 56-32, 64% +942 San Diego Padres Home Games: 47-34, 58% +475

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 2-2, 50% -20 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 35-39, 47% -790 San Diego Padres Home Games: 26-38, 41% -1580

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW