April 16, 2018 3:32 PM CDT

Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays 4/16/2018

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 4-3 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 2-3 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays\' starter Jaime Garcia is forecasted to have a better game than Royals\' starter Eric Skoglund. Jaime Garcia has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Eric Skoglund has a 21% chance of a QS. If Jaime Garcia has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 89% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 72%. In Eric Skoglund quality starts the Royals win 64%. He has a 4% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Teoscar Hernandez who averaged 3.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 59% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Mike Moustakas who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 41% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-3, 40% 4Record at Home4-3, 57% 37Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesVS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-7, 22% -406vs Team Under .5006-3, 67% 172Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% 4Record As Home Favorite2-1, 67% 15Toronto Blue Jays
When Eric Skoglund Starts0-1, 0% -100When Jaime Garcia Starts2-0, 100% 149Toronto Blue Jays

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road37-44, 46% -96Record at Home42-39, 52% -285Kansas City Royals
VS Toronto Blue Jays4-2, 67% 256VS Kansas City Royals2-4, 33% -242Kansas City Royals
vs Team Under .50051-40, 56% 913vs Team .500 or Better27-41, 40% -760Kansas City Royals
Record As Road Underdog29-33, 47% 415Record As Home Favorite30-31, 49% -942Kansas City Royals
When Eric Skoglund Starts0-4, 0% -400When Jaime Garcia Starts15-13, 54% 196Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD0-5, 0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-5, 0% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON34-44, 44% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Eric Skoglund STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jaime Garcia STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 2-3, 40% +250 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 1-6, 14% -479 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 32-49, 40% -1213 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 39-42, 48% +153

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-2, 60% -19 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 3-4, 43% -216 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 42-39, 52% -965 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -801

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 0-5, 0% -550 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 33-38, 46% -880 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 39-36, 52% -60

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