April 16, 2018 3:32 PM CDT

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners 4/16/2018

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The Seattle Mariners are 4-2 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 4-3 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners\' starter James Paxton is forecasted to have a better game than Astros\' starter Dallas Keuchel. James Paxton has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dallas Keuchel has a 42% chance of a QS. If James Paxton has a quality start the Mariners has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 56%. In Dallas Keuchel quality starts the Astros win 69%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Robinson Cano who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 57% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Houston AstrosRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-3, 57% -49Record at Home4-2, 67% 236Seattle Mariners
VS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesVS Houston Astros0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -139vs Team .500 or Better3-2, 60% 185Seattle Mariners
Record as Road Favorite4-3, 57% -49Record as Home Underdog3-2, 60% 146Seattle Mariners
When Dallas Keuchel Starts1-2, 33% -148When James Paxton Starts1-2, 33% -122Seattle Mariners

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road56-34, 62% 1177Record at Home40-41, 49% -747Houston Astros
VS Seattle Mariners14-5, 74% 566VS Houston Astros5-14, 26% -783Houston Astros
vs Team Under .50083-46, 64% 1068vs Team .500 or Better20-32, 38% -857Houston Astros
Record as Road Favorite45-22, 67% 1162Record as Home Underdog10-17, 37% -587Houston Astros
When Dallas Keuchel Starts19-10, 66% 361When James Paxton Starts14-10, 58% -13Houston Astros

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-4, 43% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-2, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON52-32, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-39, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Dallas Keuchel STARTS0-3, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN James Paxton STARTS1-2, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-4, 43% +48 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 3-3, 50% +46 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 49-41, 54% -402 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 39-42, 48% -146

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-4, 43% -219 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 3-3, 50% +46 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 49-41, 54% -247 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 43-38, 53% -316

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Houston Astros Road Games: 29-47, 38% -2270 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 35-31, 53% + 90

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