October 12, 2018 7:04 AM CDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers 10/12/2018

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 48-35 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 53-30 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jhoulys Chacin has a 34% chance of a QS and Clayton Kershaw a 37% chance. If Jhoulys Chacin has a quality start the Brewers has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 50%. If Clayton Kershaw has a quality start the Dodgers has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 64%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Max Muncy who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 75% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road48-35, 58% 143Record at Home53-30, 64% 1249Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers4-3, 57% -1VS Los Angeles Dodgers3-4, 43% 58Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better54-39, 58% 176vs Team .500 or Better52-46, 53% 859Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite41-31, 57% -326Record as Home Underdog14-12, 54% 404Milwaukee Brewers
When Clayton Kershaw Starts17-11, 61% -221When Jhoulys Chacin Starts23-12, 66% 865Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-4, 69% 169Record at Home8-3, 73% 179Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers0-0 No GamesVS Los Angeles Dodgers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-1, 86% 201vs Team .500 or Better8-3, 73% 472Milwaukee Brewers
Record as Road Favorite9-4, 69% 169Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesLos Angeles Dodgers
When Clayton Kershaw Starts5-0, 100% 254When Jhoulys Chacin Starts4-1, 80% 244Los Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD42-38, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME39-41, 49% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-4, 67% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-43, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-39, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Clayton Kershaw STARTS14-12, 54% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jhoulys Chacin STARTS16-19, 46% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 45-38, 54% -393 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 46-37, 55% +637 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 10-3, 77% +249 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 8-3, 73% +390

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 45-38, 54% -451 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 47-36, 57% -21 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 9-4, 69% +169 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 8-3, 73% +179

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 39-35, 53% + 50 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 32-42, 43% -1420 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 3-7, 30% -470

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