October 11, 2017 5:59 AM CDT

Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs 10/11/2017

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Chicago Cubs are 49-33 at home this season and the Washington Nationals are 50-32 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs\' starter Jake Arrieta is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Tanner Roark. Jake Arrieta has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tanner Roark has a 30% chance of a QS. If Jake Arrieta has a quality start the Cubs has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 54%. In Tanner Roark quality starts the Nationals win 69%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Washington NationalsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road50-32, 61% 1142Record at Home49-33, 60% -387Washington Nationals
VS Chicago Cubs5-5, 50% 19VS Washington Nationals5-5, 50% 60Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better24-21, 53% 7vs Team .500 or Better37-36, 51% -633Washington Nationals
Record As Road Underdog16-11, 59% 827Record As Home Favorite47-33, 59% -637Washington Nationals
When Tanner Roark Starts16-14, 53% 39When Jake Arrieta Starts17-14, 55% -332Washington Nationals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Washington NationalsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% -137Record at Home9-1, 90% 461Chicago Cubs
VS Chicago Cubs1-2, 33% -116VS Washington Nationals2-1, 67% 162Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -329vs Team Under .50013-3, 81% 734Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog1-0, 100% 120Record As Home Favorite8-1, 89% 355Chicago Cubs
When Tanner Roark Starts1-2, 33% -144When Jake Arrieta Starts2-1, 67% 42Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDChicago CubsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD35-42, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME49-33, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-41, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-53, 38% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Roark STARTS13-15, 46% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jake Arrieta STARTS15-13, 54% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 36-46, 44% -1920 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 38-44, 46% +186 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-4, 60% -7 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 3-7, 30% -465

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 42-40, 51% -744 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 50-32, 61% -64 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -357 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-3, 70% +105

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 32-36, 47% -760 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 39-41, 49% -610 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW