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NFL Previews - Week 17 Print E-mail
Jonathan Lee - AccuScore Analyst

With one week to go most teams have had their fates decided. Either they are in the playoffs, or they’re getting a head start on the offseason. A few teams though like Tennessee, Washington, Cleveland, and Minnesota are still vying for the last couple playoffs spots. And one team, the New England Patriots, are staring a potential 16 and 0 season.

Saturday, 8:15: NE @ NYG - CLICK HERE to SEE GAME FORECAST
The Patriots will go for history Saturday night with the game televised via simulcast on CBS, NBC, and the NFL Network. It is fitting that this game will be broadcast on the first simulcast since Super Bowl I on January 15, 1967. New England will be going for a perfect 16-0 regular season while Tom Brady and Randy Moss will be looking to break the single season touchdown marks at their respective positions. The Giants, although they have already locked up their playoff positioning, could cement a legacy with a win and breaking up the Patriots’ quest for perfection.

Although both teams are expected to play their starters for most of the game (while it hangs in the balance at least) New England is expected to dominate according to AccuScore. The Patriots are winning 88% of simulations by over 16 points on average. Tom Brady is throwing for 280 yards and 2.7 touchdowns, which would give him the all-time touchdown passing mark over Peyton Manning. Randy Moss needs two touchdowns to break Jerry Rice’s touchdown mark of 22 in one season. He is projected for six catches for 100 yards and 1.4 scores. Moss has a 40% chance to catch two touchdowns and claim the record for himself. Last week New England showed a renewed ability to rush the ball as well. This week, running back Laurence Maroney is expected to gear up for the playoffs with 80 yards rushing on 18 carries.

Giants quarterback Eli Manning is forecasted for another poor day with just 185 yards passing and more interceptions than touchdowns. His quarterback rating in simulations is just 63, which won’t win him any points with the New York media and fans. If the game gets out of hand early, expect the Giants to pound the ball with the running game to keep the clock moving. Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw will both see carries, but how much for each likely depends on the score and situation. Right now the pair is projected for 105 yards rushing combined.

At this point it appears that New York will provide little opposition for New England on its run into the history books.

Sunday, 4:15: DAL @ WAS - CLICK HERE to SEE GAME FORECAST
Washington has beaten rival Dallas at home twice in a row; a third win would propel it into the playoffs. A win over Minnesota last week has allowed the Redskins to control their own destiny in the NFC. Washington is winning over 70% of simulations against what is likely to be a depleted Dallas team in order to lock up a wildcard spot. After being just 5-7 after Thanksgiving, and suffering through tragedy with the death of safety Sean Taylor, it is incredible that the Redskins are even in this position.

The Cowboys have very little to play for having locked up homefield advantage throughout the playoffs as the top seed. Terrell Owens will sit out to rest his ankle, and with Tony Romo nicked up it is likely he will spend very little time at quarterback. Jason Witten, Marion Barber, and other key Cowboys will likely get plenty of time to rest on Sunday. Back-up Brad Johnson will probably take most of the snaps for Dallas. Although most starters will be on the bench wide receiver Terry Glenn is expected to return from injury and see if he can contribute for the playoffs. Glenn is projected for three catches for 40 yards. Johnson is throwing for just 150 yards and 0.6 touchdowns per simulation.

Quarterback Todd Collins will make his third straight start, this after not being in an opening line-up for a decade before this season. He is forecasted for a very good game with a rating of 104.1 with 270 yards passing and 1.7 touchdowns per simulation. Collins’ ability to manage the game has been incredibly valuable to the Redskins, and he should display that once again as he is throwing only 0.7 interceptions per simulation. Receivers Santana Moss, Antwaan Randle El, and Chris Cooley are all forecasted to top 55 yards receiving with at least three catches. Clinton Portis and Ladell Betts are averaging just 3.7 yards per carry, but they are combining to rush for nearly 110 yards. Their running abilities should allow Washington to convert on short third down, and goal-to-go situations while controlling time of possession.

With all the players expected to sit for Dallas, Washington is forecasted for a fairly easy big win by a touchdown on average.

Sunday, 8:15: TEN @ IND - CLICK HERE to SEE GAME FORECAST
The final game of the 2007 regular season pits division rivals Tennessee and Indianapolis. The Colts once again have little to play for as they are locked in to the second seed in the AFC. The Titans meanwhile, have everything on the line. At 9-6, they can lock up the final spot in the playoffs with a win. A loss would open the door for Cleveland to sneak in if it can win against San Francisco.

With the Colts expected to rest most of their starters, the Titans are winning nearly 60% of simulations by more than a field goal margin on average. Peyton Manning, Joseph Addai, and Reggie Wayne aren’t likely to play very much, and several other key players will get extra rest as well. One starter who will definitely see some time is wide receiver Marvin Harrison. Harrison has missed much of the year with an injured left knee, but Tony Dungy has stated that he will start. His presence may keep Manning in the game longer than expected in order to work on the pair’s timing for the playoffs.

The Titans, despite not facing the real Colts for most of the game, must forget about who’s on the field and play hard and focused throughout. Their season literally depends on it as Indianapolis won’t just lie down (completely) and allow a division foe into the playoffs. Quarterback Vince Young is forecasted to throw for nearly 200 yards with a touchdown and an interception. He is also expected to rush for 35 yards. Running back LenDale White should top 60 yards rushing, but is scoring a touchdown in just 27% of simulations.

NBC utilized its “flex-option” in order to move this game to Sunday night because of the significance for Tennessee making it essentially a playoff game in Week 17.

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