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What to Watch in College Football Print E-mail
Jonathan Lee    AccuScore Analyst
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Here's a quick rundown of some games, players, and things to watch this weekend as the college football season winds down:

No. 7 Ohio St. @ No. 21 Michigan - Click Here to see game forecast
Despite both teams losing last week, the winner becomes the Big-10 champion and gets a ticket to the Rose Bowl.  Not one Michigan player has ever beaten Ohio State and the Buckeyes are winning just over 53% of simulations by an average margin of barely more than a point.  This should be another close contest in this hotly contested rivalry.

OSU quarterback Todd Boeckman had a poor game against Illinois and he will need to bounce back in order to lead his team to a win.  He is projected for 170 yards passing and as many interceptions as touchdowns.  He needs to do better for Buckeye fans to feel comfortable.  Running back Chris "Beanie" Wells has had minor nagging injures all year, but has played through them all and played well.  He is forecasted for nearly 120 yards rushing, but is being held out of the end zone half the time in simulations by the Wolverine defense. If he doesn't score Ohio State will likely struggle to put up points on Saturday.

Michigan desperately wants and needs to win this game to end the long losing streak to its hated rivals.  Chad Henne and Mike Hart are both considered game-time decisions, but with so much on the line it seems unlikely they would sit out even if they are remotely healthy.  Henne has a lingering shoulder problem which could be an issue if he is hit hard during the game.  He is forecasted for 180 yards and 1 touchdown passing, and he would provide a much steadier hand that freshman back-up Ryan Mallett.  Running back Mike Hart was held out of last week's game against Wisconsin likely in order to ensure he'd be close to 100% for this game.  He is projected for over 90 yards.  Like his counterpart Wells, Hart will need to have a good game and likely score in order for his team to win.

Unlike last year a BCS title shot isn't on the line here but a Big 10 championship, the Rose Bowl, and of course bragging rights means this game's significance has not diminished at all.

No. 18 Boston College @ No. 15 Clemson - Click Here to see game forecast
Surprise, surprise, Clemson is actually rated higher than Boston College in all of the major polls just two weeks after the Golden Eagles were ranked No.2 in the nation.  Two consecutive losses has brought BC back to reality, and it will face an uphill climb to avoid a third straight ACC loss.

Clemson is winning over 70% of simulations by over a touchdown on average.  Quarterback Cullen Harper has been very impressive this season perhaps being the most underrated passer in the country. Clemson fans clamored for hotshot freshman Willie Korn in the preseason, but Harper has silenced that chatter with over 2100 yards passing and 23 touchdowns against just 4 interceptions.  Korn has not seen action since the opener and will apply for a redshirt.  Harper is forecasted to throw for 220 yards and 2 more scores while completing over 70% of his passes.  The running back duo of James Davis and C.J. Spiller have been made all the more dangerous with the play of Harper.  They are projected to combine for over 150 yards rushing and a healthy per carry average close to 5 yards.

Boston College quarterback Matt Ryan has gone from Heisman favorite to afterthought in a matter of weeks right along with his team.  He has struggled of late having thrown seven interceptions in his last three games.  His team needs a return to his early season form as a loss would end a chance at an ACC title game.  Ryan is forecasted for 260 yards passing and at least 1 score.  Running back Andre Callender should be the leading rusher for the Golden Eagles with almost 60 yards.  L.V. Whitworth should contribute 35 yards rushing as well.

No. 6 West Virginia @ No. 22 Cincinnati - Click Here to see game forecast
This game has more BCS implications than most people realize, and they're not just for West Virginia.  Cincinnati could still potentially win the Big East, but needs lots of help.  Two wins to close out the season and two more UCONN losses would give the Bearcats the conference crown.  West Virginia plays Connecticut next week, and would clinch the conference title with a win in that game and this week as well.

West Virginia is winning just over 60% of simulations on the road by slightly more than a field goal on average.  The two superstars for the Mountaineers, Pat White and Steve Slaton, are projected to be their Heisman caliber selves once again and will need to be in order to pull out a crucial victory.  White is forecasted to throw for nearly 200 yards and 2 touchdowns while rushing for over 110 yards. Slaton is projected for over 120 yards as well.  Receiver Darius Reynaud is the top target for White in the passing game, and has a knack for making big plays having caught 10 touchdowns on the year.

Cincinnati quarterback Ben Mauk transferred in from Wake Forest, and has been a godsend for the Bearcats.  He has thrown for 21 touchdowns and has been a steady consistent player all season.  Mauk is projected for over 230 yards and 2 touchdowns in this game while completing 65% of his throws.  He should also pick up over 35 yards on the ground as well.  Running back Jacob Ramsey has taken over the starting job from senior Butler Benton.  Benton has not received a carry in the last two games.  Ramsey should rush for over 65 yards in his new featured role.

The Bearcats have lived off of an opportunistic defense all year, and will need a few big plays to derail the always explosive Mountaineer offense and hold on to their Big East hopes.

No.4 Oklahoma @ Texas Tech - Click Here to see game forecast
Oklahoma might be in the best position possible being No.4 in the BCS standings given how often the No.2 team has lost this season.  The Sooners have a stranglehold on the Big 12 South and need only 2 more wins before a championship game appearance.  There they would either play current No.3 Kansas or No.5 Missouri meaning they would have a clear path to the national title game in New Orleans should Oregon or LSU falter down the stretch.

OU is winning over 70% of their simulated match-ups with Texas Tech by double digits on average.  Oklahoma will have to travel to Lubbock so they will have to remain poised on the road in a hostile environment. There are two marquee quarterbacks in this game: Sam Bradford and Graham Harrell.  The duo has put up huge numbers all year, and both will be the key figures on offense for their respective teams. Bradford is projected for over 340 yards passing and nearly 3 scores for OU.  Receivers Juaquin Iglesias and Malcolm Kelly have been the top targets on the year although Manuel Johnson had a breakout game last week with 126 yards and 2 touchdowns.  The running should be strong once again this game with the trio of DeMarco Murray, Allen Patrick, and Chris Brown are forecasted to combine for 180 yards rushing.

Harrell, like all Red Raider signal-callers, has put up video game numbers this season with most of his passes finding the hands of record-breaking receiver Michael Crabtree.  Harrell is forecasted for nearly 350 yards passing and 3 touchdowns while being intercepted at least once.  Crabtree has caught and incredible 113 passes for 1700 yards and 20 touchdowns.  Just a redshirt freshman, he has had nine 100 yard receiving games this season.  Although Crabtree can put up numbers against anybody, it probably won't be enough to beat Oklahoma.

Big Players Make Big Plays (best projected state lines)

Chase Daniel, QB, Missouri:  411 yards passing, 3.4 TDs, 1.1 Int, 75% completion rate Pat White, QB, West Virginia:  195 yards passing, 1.6 TDs, 0.4 Int, 110.2 yards rushing, 5.7 ypc Rashard Mendenhall, RB, Illinois: 208.4 yards rushing, 6.4 ypc, 2.07 TDs

Big Players Make Big Plays (non-BCS edition)

Jason Rivers, Ryan Grice-Mullen, Davone Bess, WRs, Hawaii:  22.9 receptions, 319.7 yards receiving, 2.37 TDs (combined totals) Casey Fitzgerald, WR, North Texas:  9.0 receptions, 110.9 yards receving, 0.79 TDs Matt Forte, RB, Tulane: 216.4 yards rushing, 6.5 ypc, 1.84 TDs Dan LeFevour, QB, Central Michigan: 284 yards passing, 0.9 Int, 54.5 yards rushing, 3.53 total TDs

 

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Eaglefan said:

 
The Boston College mascot is the Eagle, not Golden Eagle
November 16, 2007

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