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Football Results - When ROI Comes into the Picture Print E-mail

In NCAA Football, AccuScore PRO live betting predictions have delivered positive returns for point spreads in 7 of 11 Weeks (64%). It has been positive in 7 off 11 weeks on over/unders as well. Down weeks are a part of the business, but AccuScore has generated an overall profit in 8 of 11 (73%) weeks. Risking 110 per point spread and over/under has delivered a 45% increase in bankroll after 11 weeks.



In the NFL, Week 1 was admittedly rocky, but since then AccuScore NFL Live Betting Predictions have been extremely hot. Since a 10-17 start on point spreads and over/unders, Live Betting Predictions have delivered a 137-89 record on all point spread and over/under predictions. That is over 61% for + 3910. With overall accuracy over 58%, NFL Live Betting Predictions have increased a starting bankroll of $3000 to over $6000 (over 100% increase in 10 weeks).




The one clear observation from this NFL Season is the relative minor difference between AccuScore's simulation lines and Vegas lines. A vast majority of lines are 2 points or less different. In Week 1, 10 of 11 Vegas lines changed from Thursday to Friday in the "direction" of AccuScore's simulation medians.

NOW HERE COMES THE SHAMELESS PLUG

Forgive us for blatantly promoting our service; if you're not a current PRO member but you do like to make an investment here and there, you are really making a mistake but trying to get your predictions from the Game Preview or forecasted average scores. Here's why…

The average scores DO NOT tell you how to bet. The simulation median tells you the betting line, the simulation average reports different predictions than the median in as many as 50% of all games.

For example, if you had used simulation medians to bet MLB over/unders this season, you would have done well with a 52.4% average overall which is +2300 for all games with a line of 8.5 or less. If you used Simulation Averages for these games you would have been down 1730 units.

Another example comes from CBS. Their Harmon Forecast uses AccuScore's simulation average scores for the NFL. CBS takes AccuScore averages to determine picks against the spread.

By using the simulation averages, CBS reports a 132-130-5 record for Harmon in the NFL 2006 Season. If you were a PRO Member in 2006 you would have been able to get detailed information on simulation medians vs. betting lines. You see that when there was a small difference, PRO yielded a 55-56 record but when the differences got more pronounced the record was 64-49-1, or 56.6%, +1010 units.



Averages are good for quick descriptions or for office pool analysis but for real investing, if you don't have the median values from AccuScore PRO you don't have any investment value.

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mike3358 said:

 
i noticed that the end of the college football the Harmon forcast is not as good as the begining of the season esp the bowl games
November 19, 2007

Rich M said:

 
What point spread lines are you using to track wins/losses. I would like to see a point spread comparison to all weeks.
October 22, 2007

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