Over thinking can lead to disaster.

I learned this the hard way this weekend.  It’s Sunday night, and I’m making my big decision - which drink should I get at Sonic?  If you are unfamiliar with Sonic, they are the ultimate drink stop, and my new favorite place to go now that we finally have one in the area.

The choices they give you are endless.  At first I thought about a strawberry cream slush.  Maybe a vanilla flavored root beer.  The strawberry cream slush was too easy a choice, and I had a vanilla root beer the last time.  I didn’t want to choose anything obvious, but I wanted something good that you couldn’t get anywhere else.  I finally settled on a crazy combination - Chocolate Flavored Coke.

"Did you say a chocolate coke," the order girl asked me, a hint of shock and amusement in her voice.

"Yes," starting to doubt my decision, "A medium chocolate coke."

So I try my drink…and it’s horrible.  I wished I had gone with the obvious choice of the strawberry cream slush.  As I’m sitting in the car, choking down my drink, I couldn’t help but notice how delicious that strawberry cream slush was looking.

This is not an experience I want to live through again.  This is much like the experiences we deal with every week in fantasy sports.  On Tuesday you know you are starting Greg Jennings.  On Friday you revisit your team and find that Roddy White has a good match up as well.  You start to question your decision. 

Greg Jennings looks like the strawberry cream slush.  He rarely does you wrong, and it’s hard to beat him as an option, but you still try to seek out better possibilities, going for that ultimate drink.  This leads you to the chocolate coke decision, and the whole game you’re sitting in front of the TV choking down that decision to start Roddy White, while Greg Jennings is on your bench looking like a delicious option. 

The lesson:  Don’t over-analyze your fantasy choices.  If something looks good, there is no sense trying to beat it.

With that lesson learned, here are some “Waiver Wire Wonders” to cloud your judgment for week 10.  Don't go chocolate coke on these guys and start them over your normal starters. If you're in a situation where you have a bye week, or you're depending Joey Harrington as your starting quarterback, then allow me to present to you some solid options for the week ahead.

QUARTERBACKS

Kurt Warner – Warner is coming off a miserable game against Tampa Bay and the Detroit Lions are a welcome sight.  If Patrick Ramsey can put up 12 fantasy points against this team, then Warner should have no problem. AccuScore simulations have Warner averaging 15.5 fantasy points, with 274 yards through the air and 1.55 touchdowns.

Steve McNair – The Cincinnati Bengals can make any team’s passing game look good, and that includes the Baltimore Ravens. Steve McNair may only have five passing touchdowns this year, but he should add to his total against the AFC North rivals.  AccuScore is high on McNair this week, ranking him as the eighth best quarterback with an average of 16.2 fantasy points.

JP Losman – For the second straight week I’m putting JP Losman on the list. Last week he demonstrated my “Bengals Theory” and this week he gets the winless Dolphins. The Dolphins are right behind the Bengals in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks and this could be Losman’s last start before Trent Edwards returns. He is going to try and make the most of it.

RUNNING BACKS

Priest Holmes – The fantasy ghost of Christmas past returns, thanks to a possible season ending injury that will sideline Larry Johnson for at least a week, if not for the entire season.  Herm Edwards has said that Holmes probably won’t top 15 carries, which could be plenty against the Broncos and their abysmal run defense.  I’d expect at least one long run, and a score or two.  AccuScore projects 80 yards for Holmes in simulations against the Broncos.

Justin Fargas – Fargas got the majority of the carries last week and made the most of it with 104 yards rushing.  Fargas was so impressive that he stole the starting job away from Lamont Jordan and has established himself as that un-owned starting running back who can be productive for your team.  He gets the Bears defense this weekend, who have been the second worst team against fantasy running backs this year.

Michael Robinson/Maurice Hicks – If Frank Gore can’t go for your team, then the duo of Robinson and Hicks will share the load again.  Hicks got the score last week, but Robinson got the yardage.  I lean towards Robinson because he gets more carries, yards, and as a former college quarterback there’s a chance he could be used for a trick play.  I’d only recommend these guys if you own Frank Gore and you are out of options.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Chris Henry – Henry’s return to the Bengals comes at a good time with Chad Johnson going down last week.  Whether or not Johnson plays this weekend, Henry is a good start.  Too much attention will be given to TJ Houshmandzadeh and Johnson, leaving Henry with some good one-on-one opportunities that he can exploit.

James Jones – I like Brett Favre because he believes in equal opportunity fantasy stats for his wide receivers.  While Jennings and Driver are the top options in Green Bay, Jones is one of the best number three options you can have.  He averages 3.6 receptions per game, for 54 yards.  AccuScore simulations have Jones sustaining these averages by catching 4.1 passes for 59 yards.  Add in the fact that anyone can score when Favre throws the ball and Jones looks like a good sleeper play for those of you without Randy Moss this week.

David Patten – The un-noticed in the revival of the Saints offense and Drew Brees is directly related to the production of David Patten.  In the past four games, Patten has averaged just under 5 catches a game for 83 yards, reaching 100 yards twice.

Shaun McDonald – The Lions are still a passing team with Shaun McDonald emerging as one of Jon Kitna’s favorite targets.  McDonald has scored a touchdown in four games this year, and has four or more receptions in six of his eight games.

TIGHT ENDS

Donald Lee – Lee just signed a four year extension with the Packers, meaning two things:  He is their guy at tight end and he will want to go out and prove he is worth the money.  What better opponent than the Vikings, whose horrid pass defense is allowing 68 yards a game to tight ends.

Visanthe Shiancoe – It’s hard to get passes thrown your way when Adrian Peterson is hogging the offense and stealing the fantasy points.  The Packers should stuff the line against Peterson this week, leaving Shiancoe open for a few passes.  The Packers give up more fantasy points to tight ends than any another team, which is good news for Shiancoe.

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

Seattle – The Seahawks are the seventh best fantasy unit, but are un-owned in a third of fantasy leagues.  With the 49ers being led Alex Smith and an injured Frank Gore, look for Seattle to have a huge week.  I list them here because they should be owned by mostly all leagues, yet they are available in the majority of the leagues I am in, which means they will end up on my team in a few leagues this week.

Kansas City – Not only have the Broncos been un-impressive this season on offense, but now Patrick Ramsey gets the call. Although the Chiefs gave up 33 points to the Packers last week, one touchdown was a result of a defensive score and the other was a 60 yard bomb by Favre to Jennings.  AccuScore projects the Chiefs to give up 17.4 points against the Broncos with Ramsey under center.  Remember, the Chiefs are good against the run, and Patrick Ramsey is no Brett Favre.